Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 2.717965 2.858220 3.005505 3.172350 3.356908 3.555751 3.787460
2025-11-23 2.506587 2.705221 2.924258 3.186199 3.494368 3.849958 4.298318
2025-11-30 2.360223 2.597437 2.869015 3.208189 3.628424 4.143743 4.843930
2025-12-07 2.225060 2.484256 2.789473 3.183719 3.693030 4.350557 5.305976
2025-12-14 2.089024 2.356294 2.677431 3.102626 3.669559 4.431678 5.602256
2025-12-21 2.011304 2.291740 2.635583 3.102522 3.746173 4.650370 6.130140
2025-12-28 1.969399 2.267197 2.639978 3.159839 3.902596 4.998724 6.932564
2026-01-04 1.896059 2.197647 2.580426 3.123938 3.920093 5.137445 7.411222
2026-01-11 1.851819 2.162438 2.562748 3.142783 4.017111 5.411329 8.207376
2026-01-18 1.820894 2.142338 2.563069 3.185558 4.152677 5.767332 9.284606
2026-01-25 1.767303 2.089388 2.515226 3.154010 4.166845 5.912588 9.953744
2026-02-01 1.718419 2.040496 2.470228 3.123044 4.177911 6.052238 10.663347
2026-02-08 1.664678 1.985740 2.418247 3.084148 4.182371 6.200502 11.530626
2026-02-15 1.621259 1.943657 2.382579 3.068529 4.226325 6.439100 12.822374
2026-02-22 1.588251 1.914456 2.363710 3.077494 4.314120 6.788119 14.765015
2026-03-01 1.547202 1.872353 2.323942 3.050246 4.333523 6.993704 16.415154
2026-03-08 1.494999 1.812797 2.256062 2.973441 4.253896 6.958538 17.055107
2026-03-15 1.467080 1.786378 2.235743 2.972644 4.316850 7.275344 19.773774
2026-03-22 1.455141 1.781961 2.247606 3.025337 4.488501 7.910598 25.727620
2026-03-29 1.421886 1.745831 2.210027 2.992049 4.485180 8.084206 29.179599
2026-04-05 1.403186 1.729979 2.202476 3.009417 4.587141 8.584941 37.960956
2026-04-12 1.390804 1.722752 2.207641 3.048901 4.740413 9.298632 56.962522
2026-04-19 1.363055 1.692149 2.175231 3.019763 4.741359 9.528430 72.495606